Global gold prices could surge to $6,300 per ounce by the end of the year, according to a new market outlook issued by JPMorgan Chase. The banking giant cited strong demand from central banks and investors as the primary drivers behind its bullish forecast.
In its latest market brief, JPMorgan maintained that the medium-term outlook for gold remains highly positive. Analysts pointed to a structural shift in global reserve management, where central banks are increasingly diversifying away from traditional paper assets and into tangible stores of value such as gold.
The forecast reflects continued strength in real assets compared to financial instruments. In recent years, geopolitical uncertainty, inflation concerns, and currency volatility have reinforced gold’s appeal as a hedge. According to the bank, this broader macroeconomic environment is supporting sustained demand for the precious metal.
JPMorgan now projects that central bank gold purchases could reach approximately 800 tons in 2026. This anticipated surge in buying activity is tied to what the bank describes as an ongoing and not yet exhausted up-and-down cycle in global markets. Central banks, particularly in emerging economies, have been steadily increasing their gold reserves to reduce exposure to foreign currencies.
Investor appetite is also expected to remain firm. Exchange-traded funds, institutional investors, and private wealth managers continue to view gold as a defensive allocation amid global economic uncertainty. If this demand trajectory persists, prices could accelerate faster than previously anticipated.
A move toward $6,300 per ounce would mark a historic milestone for the international gold market. While such projections depend on evolving economic conditions, JPMorgan’s analysis suggests that supply-demand dynamics remain supportive of higher valuations.
For countries like Pakistan, where gold is both an investment vehicle and a cultural asset, international price movements have direct implications for local markets. Rising global prices often translate into higher domestic gold rates, affecting jewelry demand and retail investment patterns.
As central banks continue to diversify reserves and investors seek stability, gold’s strategic importance appears to be strengthening. JPMorgan’s latest projection signals that the precious metal may remain at the center of global financial strategy well into the coming year.
